Looking into my Classic crystal ball …
Na Wahine probably won’t release their 2009-10 schedule for a few more months, but that hasn’t stopped me from wondering who might wander down to the rock next season, particularly for the Wahine Classic. The premier Thanksgiving tournament is the highlight of the ‘Bows – and my – year, and last season all five visiting teams made the NCAA Tournament. So when I learned yesterday that 2009 Elite Eight finisher Arizona State was the first confirmed team (besides Hawaii) making plans for the Stan Sheriff in late November, I decided to get serious about my speculation on who may round out the (usually) eight-team field.
To develop my list, I whipped out my trusty Wahine Basketball Media Guide and flipped to the list of previous Classic participants, figuring that the most likely visitors would be those who’ve set a precedent and traveled to the islands for the tourney before. I ruled out anyone who’s come down within the last four years for either the Classic or for another preseason tourney (though I concede I may have forgotten someone if they came down for another tournament and didn’t play Hawaii). I also figured that the more likely candidates would be those who’ve come down multiple times, and more recently (excluding the last four years). So, though I wish every year that Pat will bring Tennessee for the Classic, I figure it grows less likely by the year since the Lady Vols have not returned since they defeated defending national champion Stanford to win the 1992 Classic (now that was a field!).
I then compared my list of possibles, a healthy mix of teams from major and smaller conferences, against known lineups for competing Thanksgiving tourneys in warm places, like the Paradise Jam and the Junkanoo Jam (adios to TCU and UConn). If the school was not listed in any of these tourneys, I also checked the team’s Web site to see if they had already released their 2009-10 schedule, and if so, if they have a conflicting game (alas, good bye Santa Clara). I also checked to see if they are participating in December’s Duel in the Desert, which Na Wahine are also scheduled for, figuring a school would rather not schedule itself for more than one tournament where they could potentially face the same teams (bye-bye DePaul). (Aside: I’m trying to figure out how to pull off Vegas in December!)
First, some possible teams that I would like to come down, but don’t have high hopes for.
North Carolina State – The Wolf Pack are multi-time Classic participants (1990, 1995, 2000), and new Pack coach Kellie Jolly Harper even brought her former Western Carolina team down for the Paradise Classic in 2007. This makes NC State seem like a prime candidate to add to this year’s tourney roster, but the Pack were originally scheduled to appear in the Paradise Jam before withdrawing, and I doubt they would pull out of that prestigious tourney to come to ours.
Vanderbilt – Vandy is a two-time Classic participant (1986, 1989) and also came down for the Paradise Classic in 1999. This makes the Commodores a decent Classic candidate, but while I would absolutely love to see the ‘Dores in person next year, even without Jen Risper and Tina Wirth (Meredith Marsh! Jence Rhoads!), something in my gut just tells me they won’t be making their first trip to the islands in 10 years.
Utah – Hawaii’s former WAC foe has come down a couple times for the Classic (1990, 2004), including once after being among the eight traitors to defect to form the Mountain West. A 2009 NCAAs participant, the Utes would be a quality addition to the Classic and the timing would be about right, but somehow I’m not hopeful.
UC Santa Barbara – Hawaii's former archrival actually has never come down for the Classic, but did participate in the Paradise Classic in 1997, after the 'Bows bolted from the Big West. I love my Gauchos (now that they're not denying us of an NCAA berth every year), but considering they haven't been back in 12 years, I get the feeling they prefer not having to schedule regular trips to Hawaii.
So what do I think the Classic field will look like? Outside of the confirmed teams, this is pure speculation and in some cases a real stretch, but I have a good feeling about this lineup. Plus, I like it.
Confirmed teams:
Hawaii (duh)
Arizona State
Lori’s likelies (with previous Classic participation):
Louisville (1998)
Michigan (1996, 2000)
Georgia (2004)
Wyoming (1988, 1993, 2001)
Long Beach State (1999) 7/14/09 Edit: LBSU will be at the University of Miami tourney Thanksgiving weekend
Montana (1991, 2003)
Again, I have no inside information on who actually is coming, this is just who I think/hope are good candidates. I picked a mix of majors and midmajors as that is a typical Classic composition. I also figured the schools from the richer major conferences would be more likely to make a longer trek, while our midmajor visitors will more likely come from the Western states (so much for Fordham saying “Mobolaji Akiode!” to the islands again). Of these teams, I am least confident about one-time participant and 2009 national runner-up Louisville, but somehow I keep coming back to them as the other top team to come down. And while a Big XII school usually comes down for the Classic, but this year everyone who’s come down before either have other Thanksgiving commitments or have been down within the last four years.
Now, to sit back and wait for the actual schedule to be released. I do hope I’m wrong and we see a lineup that includes NC State, Vandy, Utah and UCSB. But with my luck, it’ll probably be East West North Carolina State Southern Christian or something.





